Yue Xia vs Adam Farag Cao Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the past six months, Xia has a slight edge in second serve performance, winning 44.44% of points compared to Cao's 43.18%.
• Xia excels in returning opponent's second serves, capturing 47.06% of those points, whereas Cao only manages 41.9%.
• However, when facing first serves, Cao displays superiority, winning 23.76% of these points, versus Xia's 17.39%.
• When facing breakpoints, Cao exhibits stronger mental resilience, saving 59.62% compared to Xia’s 51.72%.
• Both players show similar annual win rates, with Xia at 46.67% and Cao at 48.48%.
• On indoor hard courts, Cao has a marginal advantage, boasting a 52% win rate against Xia’s 50%.
• In terms of competitive experience over the past year, Cao has competed more frequently in higher-level events, winning 51.61% of matches at the $10K level compared to Xia's 46.67%.
• Xia’s recent opponents have been of higher caliber, averaging a ranking of 53.03, while Cao’s opponents have been ranked 197.67 on average.
• If the match extends to a deciding set, Cao holds a commanding advantage, winning 57% of such sets compared to Xia’s 17%.
• Xia demonstrates superior breakpoint conversion, capitalizing on 37.5% of opportunities compared to Cao's 25.64%.

Editorial Prediction (September 3, 2025, UTC):

As we analyze the upcoming tennis match between Xia and Cao, several performance metrics provide insight into who might have the upper hand.

Xia's ability to win second serve points and return the opponents' second serve shows their potential to gain early control during exchanges. However, Xia struggles with first serve returns, an area where Cao seems better equipped. Additionally, Cao showcases a stronger performance under pressure, particularly in breakpoint situations.

Both players exhibit similar win rates overall and perform closely on hard surfaces, demonstrating their competitiveness in this regard. However, considering the quality of opponents, Xia has faced tougher challenges over the past year, potentially preparing them better for high-pressure situations.

Yet, should the match proceed to a deciding set, Cao's solid record and higher win percentage become a significant factor. Coupled with Cao's strong performance in breakpoints saved, this suggests an edge in high-stakes moments towards the latter stages of the game.

While both players bring unique strengths to the court, Cao's mental resilience in critical stages and proficiency in converting and saving breakpoints may tilt the scales in their favor. Therefore, Cao is slightly favored to win this upcoming match.